Match Time: 10/17/2020 02:45 Saturday（GMT+8）
On Saturday morning, Derby County will be up against Watford at Pride Park Stadium with a 2:45am kick-off. This is a Championship fixture. Read on for the preview and match prediction. This preview will define where the value is for us to get stuck in to. We work through the numbers below.
Head To Head
A glance at the record books shows that Derby County played Watford in 2015 in a Championship game. The match was a draw, with a final score of 2-2. Looking back over the last decade, these two sides have clashed 10 times. Derby County have emerged victorious in 6 of these match-ups. Watford have won 3 of these occasions. The other match ended in a draw.There has been an average of 3.9 goals. Derby County score an average of 2.3. Watford have scored an average of 1.6 each time they've met.Focussing on the Home and Away performance numbers, whichever side has been at home has won 60% of these matches and the visitors have got the win 30% of the time.
At the moment, Derby County have 3 points in Championship, putting them in 21st place.There is a total of 37 matches played by the home team over the course of the last year. They have 13 wins; 8 draws; and 16 losses. In other words, Derby County have won 35%, drawn 21%, and lost 43% of their recent matches.Over this 12-month period, they average 1.14 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.38.Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 45% (9 wins) from their last 20 home fixtures. 25% (5) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 30% (6) being a loss for the home team.On average they have scored 1.25 goals when at home in this period and they have conceded 1.1.
Watford have 7 points in the league, which puts them in 7th place.There is a total of 31 matches played by them in the last year. They have 10 wins; 9 draws; and 12 losses. In other words, Watford have won 32%, drawn 29%, and lost 38% of their recent matches.Over this 12-month period, they average 1.1 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.16.On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 12% (2 wins) from the most recent 16 away fixtures. 31% (5) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 56% (9) resulting in a loss.While playing away from home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 0.75 and they have conceded 1.38 on average.Their recent performance, both home and away, shows that they have a total of 11 goals in their last ten matches and 5 of these matches have been victories. The total number of times both Watford and the other team have scored in these games is 4 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 from their last ten.You might want to see the positives in the Watford form to inflate their chances for victory, but we would want a bigger price to even consider backing them in this match-up.
Betting tip for Derby County vs Watford
Some companies offer 3.4 about Derby County to emerge victorious. We think this could be the bet.
Derby County VS Watford
Prediction: Derby County